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House prices to go up 10%

A very positive comment was made by Christopher Joye from the Australian Financial Review recently when he referred to house prices. “House prices are going nuts again” was his comment.

Joye advised that he had uplifted his growth forecasts for 2016 based on the back of the further cut in interest rates down to 1.75%.

“..given the current yield curve expectations for a second cut in 2016, my central case is house prices run at three to five times wages, which represents growth of between 6% and 10%.”

The numbers tell the story:

• 4% capital gain in the past quarter already
• Brisbane and Adelaide alone have shown an increase of 7.4% and over the last 12 months another 5.6%, according to Corelogic RP Data, which Joye has noted seemingly modest, is 3.5 and 2.7 times the pace of wages growth.
• RBA Interest rates at historical lows (1.75%)

With the predicted changes to superannuation and low interest rates, property across Australia could be in for a further boost. Especially those markets such as Brisbane and the Gold Coast that are on their upward cycles.

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